The candidates for the GOP have been using a War on Women and their reproductive rights as the centerpiece to take back the White House.
If we look at the polling data, it seems that about half the women in the country do not mind being paid 70% of what a man earns and are OK limiting contraception. Who are these women making up close to 25% of our population? (See the attached poll. One funny thing about this particular poll is that is doesn't hit 1500 respondents – a basic threshold for legitimacy in polling. At less than 1200 respondents the poll was either done on the cheap, in a lazy fashion, or stopped when the numbers got to a percentage the pollster liked.)
I am sorry. It does not pass the smell test is that women are trending towards the GOP.
I started thinking about a series of on line articles showing a statistical anomaly with respect to larger polls trending slightly ahead for GOP Votes. This is pronounced with automatic voting machines with no ability to track back the votes. In other words, there is no paper trail of the votes.
Link
It also seems some Pro-Romney folks own stakes in voting machine companies. Link
So if you are going to steal an election, owning the counting mechanism makes sense. But you would have to get the public to accept the results from a bad count. How? Use fraudulent polling data to support the projected results? As you can tell, I am not buying these polls.
The small wheels in my conspiratorial mind begin to turn. (Or, is that conspiratorial wheels in a small mind?)
Imagine, if you will (I love Rod Sterling), an alternate universe. Yes, a Twilight Zoney universe where a subject is trapped and fooled into thinking what the owner or ruler of the universe wants you to think.
Submitted for your approval, a situation where large telecoms or hackers were involved in intercepting polling phone calls going out to the potential poll subjects (via a Voice Over IP Network). Once the call was intercepted, the call would be routed to call center associated with a given campaign to give the 'proper' campaign responses to the pollsters. The owner of the alternate universe can tell the pollster whatever is applicable to the topic at hand.
No matter what the angle of the poll being taken, you can get a uniform result, once you get the phone numbers of the outgoing pollsters for the intercept. The pollster thinks they have a good subject and all of a sudden the numbers don't make any sense.
How to defend against such a situation? It would be cool if all the polling companies made a quick investment in disposable, untraceable phones for one or two polls where they interview at least 1600 people, just to see if there is a difference.
Is this technically feasible? I don't know, but my experience with caller id and Rachel at Cardholder Services tells me that telecoms are at the mercy of these types of hackers. If I can yell at Rachel at Cardholder Services' buddies until I am blue in the face about how they have hijacked MY caller id, then why is not feasible that someone else can hack a routed call coming from a pollster that is legit and send it to Lower Gibip?
Mike Shortall
11:33 pm on Thursday, November 1, 2012
Oh, boy ... The conspiracy theories are already beginning to jell!
Or maybe more women are just sick and tired of making the same amount of money as all the Unemployed men.
Mitt will be in Lower Makefield on Sunday. Both campaigns are pouring ad money into Pennsylvania. So it MUST be close!
Go, Mitt!
http://crankymanslawn.com/2012/10/23/my-case-for-mitt-romney/
Joe The Nerd Ferraro
9:52 am on Friday, November 2, 2012
please Mitt Go AWAY -
Go back to the Caymans or China or where-ever you keeping your money...
Mike
1:59 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
Mitt GO AWAY? You just admitted Obama supporters do not have a leg to stand on! Silence the other side and dont let them get their message out to the voters because they are the real hope and change campaign!
Ed Lynn
8:14 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
Sooooo.... in your universe, Mike, expressing an opposing point of view to yours equals silencing the other side and not letting them get their message out to the voters? Forget "please Mitt Go AWAY", please won't YOU go away, Mike!
And, Mitt, if you're going to the Caymans... can I hitch a ride on your private jet? I'll polish the silverware - except that spoon in your mouth. That's a birth defect.
Joe The Nerd Ferraro
8:35 am on Saturday, November 3, 2012
we got plenty of legs to stand on.
Silence the other side - WOW - who passed the Voter Id bill again and why?
patrick
2:14 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
Hey lawn-mower man, Mitt's in PA because he still needs @20 electorial votes. The GOP path to the white house is getting narrower. Robme/ Lyin-Ryan=LOSERS
Ed Lynn
8:15 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
Atta boy!
Mike Shortall
10:14 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
Thanks for reading the blog (www.crankymanslawn.com), Patrick!
Just remember that not only is Romney targeting PA, but the Obama campaign also feels compelled to spend a lot more money here. They've even pulled out The Big Gun and are sending Bill Clinton here Monday.
Does that sound like a campaign that has Pennsylvania"locked up"?!?
patrick
10:52 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
It's a good blog. I admit that I've visited it, and then had to take a shower. It's good to see Pa getting some attention. Bust out The Big Gun. Unlike most Republicans, I'll take it that you did some real research, and spoke to Monica to verify that as fact, before you printed it :o
Mike Shortall
11:18 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
ouch, patrick ... You really now how to hurt a guy. ;^/
Yes, patrick, the scheduled appearance of Wild Bill on Monday was in The Philadelphia Inquirer today.
Tim Lewis
11:35 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012
Joe, it just shows you don't understand the issues - or women. I can assure you that all of the women in my family are voting happily for Romney. They are quite fine with their salaries, and don't see why contraceptives should be publicly funded. And I can assure you they are not alone.
Joe The Nerd Ferraro
8:32 am on Saturday, November 3, 2012
i hope all the women in your house like earning 70% of the guys...
Joe The Nerd Ferraro
8:32 am on Saturday, November 3, 2012
If you live in a large polling district (>1200 people) with automated voting machines and no paper trail -
would you sign an affidavit stating you voted for President Obama.
Having more affidavits than votes at the end of the night would mean there is a problem with the electronic voting machines.